Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -500 MCN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -10.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.7 (+8.3) | 147.1 (-4.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.2 (+8.8) | 145.4 (-2.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.8 (+8.2) | 147.2 (-4.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.8 (+8.2) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#187) | -10.9 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#192) | -1.79 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#192) | -2.50 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#161) | 0.459 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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