Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UML -1000 UNH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UML -13.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -12.0 (-1.0) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -11.6 (-0.6) | 136.3 (+2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -12.4 (-1.4) | 138.8 (+0.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -12.3 (-1.3) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#120) | -6.7 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | -0.75 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#137) | -1.02 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#122) | 0.471 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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