Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +100 URI -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -0.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.9 (+16.1) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -0.4 (+16.6) | 138.3 (-9.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.3 (+16.7) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.3 (+16.7) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#233) | -4.1 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#225) | -0.93 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#230) | -1.24 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#212) | 0.452 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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