California Baptist
Lancers
69
–
62
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires WAC
Abilene Christian
Wildcats
Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CBU +110 ACU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -2.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -1.5 (+5.5) | 136.7 (-5.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.1 (+5.9) | 134.5 (-3.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -1.8 (+5.2) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -2.2 (+4.8) | 137.4 (-6.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#160) | -1.7 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#189) | -0.37 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#173) | -0.31 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#258) | 0.472 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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