Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -150 SAC +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -1.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.3 (+4.7) | 129.4 (+4.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -2.1 (+3.9) | 126.5 (+7.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.4 (+4.6) | 130.2 (+3.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.4 (+4.6) | 129.6 (+4.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#204) | -2.8 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#182) | -0.62 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#211) | -0.76 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#192) | 0.479 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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