South Dakota State
Jackrabbits
79
–
89
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Summit League
North Dakota State
Bison
Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -213 NDSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -2.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -2.6 (-12.6) | 138.4 (+29.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -2.8 (-12.8) | 137.7 (+30.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -2.8 (-12.8) | 137.5 (+30.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -2.6 (-12.6) | 136.5 (+31.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 66 SDST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 SDST |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NDSU 77 – 68 SDST |
| Jan 31, 2025 | SDST 72 – 62 NDSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SDST 78 – 61 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#162) | -2.4 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#126) | -0.39 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#155) | -0.51 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#62) | 0.498 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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