Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -213 NOLA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -7.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -7.1 (-11.1) | 153.4 (+6.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -5.5 (-9.5) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -6.2 (-10.2) | 155.7 (+4.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -6.7 (-10.7) | 154.5 (+5.5) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#260) | -12.5 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#230) | -1.97 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#250) | -2.43 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.420 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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