Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -188 UTC +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -6.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.7 (+3.3) | 151.9 (+15.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -5.0 (+4.0) | 153.4 (+13.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -6.0 (+3.0) | 153.3 (+13.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -6.1 (+2.9) | 153.5 (+13.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#90) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#96) | -0.46 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#99) | -0.51 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#79) | 0.501 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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