Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -1200 STMN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -11.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -9.3 (-4.3) | 148.3 (-13.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -10.0 (-5.0) | 148.5 (-13.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -8.8 (-3.8) | 149.9 (-14.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -8.7 (-3.7) | 149.1 (-14.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 11-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#49) | -1.3 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#23) | -0.06 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#32) | -0.37 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#12) | 0.505 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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