Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | JKST +100 TXSO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -2.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -1.4 (+0.6) | 144.5 (-4.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -1.3 (+0.7) | 142.9 (-2.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -2.0 (-0.0) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -2.0 (-0.0) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#316) | -8.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#301) | -1.54 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#322) | -1.89 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#301) | 0.447 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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