Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | GW -138 LAS +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +7 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | GW -4.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -2.7 (+4.3) | 156.0 (+21.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -2.0 (+5.0) | 155.0 (+22.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -2.6 (+4.4) | 154.3 (+22.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -2.7 (+4.3) | 155.7 (+21.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#217) | -3.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#195) | -0.28 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#213) | -0.58 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#202) | 0.493 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.