Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -700 LUC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -12.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -11.2 (+7.8) | 144.8 (-1.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -10.3 (+8.7) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.4 (+8.6) | 145.6 (-2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -10.6 (+8.4) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SLU 79 – 65 LUC |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SLU 86 – 59 LUC |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LUC 72 – 64 SLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SLU 98 – 67 LUC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LUC 78 – 69 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#105) | -5.2 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | -0.91 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#90) | -1.09 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#55) | 0.448 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.