Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -275 SYR +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +17 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -7.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -7.8 (+9.2) | 147.1 (+33.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -6.8 (+10.2) | 148.6 (+32.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -8.1 (+8.9) | 146.8 (+34.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -7.8 (+9.2) | 147.7 (+33.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#67) | 4.2 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#43) | 0.87 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#47) | 1.17 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#45) | 0.533 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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