Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GB +400 PFW -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +17 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -10.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -10.1 (-6.9) | 136.5 (+2.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -10.6 (-6.4) | 138.3 (+0.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -9.2 (-7.8) | 137.4 (+1.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -10.0 (-7.0) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-11 |
| Home | 2-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-17 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -17.8 (#361) | -3.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#359) | -0.52 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.79 (#361) | -0.68 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#359) | 0.485 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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