Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +100 ETAM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -0.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.8 (+4.8) | 143.7 (+10.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -1.4 (+5.4) | 141.4 (+12.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -1.2 (+5.2) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -1.3 (+5.3) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UIW 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | ETAM 80 – 58 UIW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UIW 75 – 68 ETAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ETAM 76 – 72 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#347) | -7.8 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#341) | -1.15 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#349) | -1.77 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#346) | 0.450 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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