Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UML -700 UNH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +37 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UML -11.5 (+25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -11.3 (+25.7) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -9.4 (+27.6) | 136.8 (+10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -10.4 (+26.6) | 138.6 (+8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -10.8 (+26.2) | 139.6 (+7.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | -5.9 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#136) | -0.84 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#141) | -1.09 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.467 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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