Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +100 LR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +1 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -1.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+42.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.2 (+0.8) | 151.6 (+41.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -1.9 (-0.9) | 148.5 (+44.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.4 (-0.4) | 148.8 (+44.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.7 (+0.3) | 151.1 (+41.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#339) | -9.6 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#339) | -1.87 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#336) | -2.22 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#342) | 0.407 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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