Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -333 MCN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -9.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -8.5 (-5.5) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -7.4 (-4.4) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -8.4 (-5.4) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -7.7 (-4.7) | 150.9 (+2.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#267) | -11.6 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#238) | -2.13 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#259) | -2.85 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#215) | 0.442 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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