Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +350 NORF -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +12 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -8.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.2 (-3.8) | 151.7 (+12.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.9 (-5.1) | 148.1 (+15.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.1 (-3.9) | 153.7 (+10.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.9 (-4.1) | 153.8 (+10.2) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-19 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#346) | -0.7 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#333) | 0.33 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#335) | 0.21 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#325) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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