Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +400 GRAM -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +14 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -8.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -8.7 (-5.3) | 128.8 (-4.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -7.2 (-6.8) | 125.2 (-1.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -8.8 (-5.2) | 127.4 (-3.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -7.6 (-6.4) | 129.0 (-5.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-15 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#354) | -1.8 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#356) | 0.09 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#355) | 0.19 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#347) | 0.504 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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