Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -600 VMI +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -11.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -10.4 (+8.6) | 146.6 (+4.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -7.7 (+11.3) | 146.8 (+4.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -10.9 (+8.1) | 149.2 (+1.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -10.2 (+8.8) | 149.5 (+1.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#254) | -13.0 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#234) | -2.50 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#241) | -2.99 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#228) | 0.393 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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