Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -800 HCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -12.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -9.9 (-5.9) | 157.8 (-25.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.3 (-6.3) | 152.9 (-20.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.0 (-6.0) | 158.7 (-26.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.9 (-5.9) | 160.6 (-28.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HCU 72 – 68 NICH |
| Dec 18, 2025 | NICH 79 – 64 HCU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | NICH 75 – 67 HCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NICH 83 – 73 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | NICH 98 – 94 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#257) | -14.2 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#261) | -2.18 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#254) | -2.72 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#224) | 0.399 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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