Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -275 RICE +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -8.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -6.4 (+9.6) | 138.7 (-14.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -5.6 (+10.4) | 134.5 (-10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -5.9 (+10.1) | 139.5 (-15.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.4 (+9.6) | 141.1 (-17.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLT 80 – 70 RICE |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CLT 74 – 73 RICE |
| Mar 12, 2025 | CLT 64 – 61 RICE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLT 78 – 75 RICE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RICE 68 – 55 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#108) | -0.7 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#110) | 0.45 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#108) | 0.29 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#146) | 0.513 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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