Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BRY +115 UVM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -0.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -0.1 (-3.9) | 151.8 (-15.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -1.3 (-2.7) | 148.3 (-12.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -0.3 (-4.3) | 150.6 (-14.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.1 (-4.1) | 153.0 (-17.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 14-2 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#184) | 2.8 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | 0.56 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#196) | 0.42 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.574 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.