Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -350 LT +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +14 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -5.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -5.6 (+8.4) | 142.0 (-30.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -5.7 (+8.3) | 138.8 (-26.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -5.8 (+8.2) | 145.2 (-33.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -6.1 (+7.9) | 145.7 (-33.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | LT 80 – 69 MTSU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | LT 59 – 58 MTSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MTSU 88 – 51 LT |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MTSU 77 – 75 LT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LT 85 – 74 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#124) | 1.2 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#103) | -0.13 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#119) | -0.19 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#70) | 0.496 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.