Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -225 DSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -7.4 (-2.4) | 142.5 (+18.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -8.2 (-3.2) | 140.3 (+20.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -7.8 (-2.8) | 141.0 (+20.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -7.2 (-2.2) | 141.8 (+19.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#300) | -13.6 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#251) | -1.89 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#264) | -2.58 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#207) | 0.413 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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