Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BCU +200 SOU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +7 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -6.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-34.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -5.1 (+12.1) | 146.1 (-33.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -6.3 (+13.3) | 142.7 (-29.7) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -5.4 (+12.4) | 145.6 (-32.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -6.0 (+13.0) | 145.9 (-32.9) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | BCU 82 – 79 SOU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SOU 77 – 73 BCU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BCU 70 – 69 SOU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SOU 69 – 53 BCU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | BCU 73 – 58 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#357) | -4.2 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#337) | -0.98 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#345) | -1.32 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#352) | 0.465 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.