Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -188 UTM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -3.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -2.6 (+11.4) | 143.8 (-13.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.9 (+9.1) | 141.4 (-11.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.9 (+11.1) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.8 (+11.2) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#264) | -5.1 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#182) | -0.84 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#210) | -1.10 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#140) | 0.474 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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