Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -450 URI +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -9.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -8.5 (-5.5) | 140.7 (+4.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -7.3 (-4.3) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -8.4 (-5.4) | 139.8 (+5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -7.8 (-4.8) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 18-2 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#143) | -4.1 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#76) | -0.98 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#96) | -1.28 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#71) | 0.453 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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