Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -1400 NE +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +32 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -16.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -15.6 (+16.4) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -14.9 (+17.1) | 138.0 (-2.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -15.3 (+16.7) | 138.2 (-2.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -16.0 (+16.0) | 137.8 (-1.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 11-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#95) | -8.0 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#75) | -1.19 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#82) | -1.39 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#32) | 0.438 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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