Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SAM +105 FUR -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +14 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -1.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -0.9 (-14.9) | 155.0 (+17.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -0.6 (-14.6) | 155.0 (+17.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -1.4 (-15.4) | 153.8 (+18.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -1.5 (-15.5) | 156.2 (+15.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FUR 86 – 81 SAM |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FUR 78 – 73 SAM |
| Jan 15, 2026 | FUR 77 – 73 SAM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 95 – 78 SAM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | FUR 80 – 72 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAM | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | 5.6 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#135) | 0.73 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#135) | 0.89 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.548 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAM | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.