Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COLU +350 BRWN -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -8.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -7.4 (-3.6) | 145.0 (+12.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -8.0 (-3.0) | 144.2 (+12.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -7.9 (-3.1) | 142.2 (+14.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -8.1 (-2.9) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COLU 80 – 62 BRWN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BRWN 86 – 61 COLU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLU 74 – 72 BRWN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 66 – 64 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#345) | -0.6 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#340) | -0.16 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#343) | -0.30 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#343) | 0.502 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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