Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PENN -600 DART +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +10 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -11.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -11.3 (-1.3) | 147.5 (+20.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -9.1 (+0.9) | 146.1 (+21.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -11.2 (-1.2) | 147.7 (+20.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -10.7 (-0.7) | 148.8 (+19.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#135) | -6.1 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#154) | -1.25 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#146) | -1.83 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.446 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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