Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | HC +170 ARMY -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +15 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -3.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.3 (-12.7) | 142.7 (+2.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -4.3 (-10.7) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.2 (-12.8) | 145.0 (+0.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.4 (-12.6) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#337) | -4.4 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#329) | -1.14 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#329) | -1.33 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#311) | 0.448 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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