Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BU -154 LEH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | BU -4.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -2.9 (+0.1) | 137.5 (-22.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -2.6 (+0.4) | 135.8 (-20.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -2.6 (+0.4) | 136.7 (-21.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -2.9 (+0.1) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#262) | -6.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#273) | -0.57 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#279) | -0.89 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#258) | 0.489 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.