Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -1000 ASU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +1 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -12.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -11.3 (-12.3) | 154.5 (+22.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -11.3 (-12.3) | 155.8 (+21.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.7 (-12.7) | 153.0 (+24.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -11.3 (-12.3) | 153.2 (+23.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#8) | 8.2 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#10) | 1.38 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#17) | 1.72 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#6) | 0.560 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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