Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | JAX +100 EKU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +4 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -1.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.4 (-4.4) | 130.5 (-22.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -0.4 (-3.6) | 127.9 (-19.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -0.9 (-4.9) | 131.7 (-23.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.0 (-4.0) | 132.4 (-24.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | JAX 81 – 76 EKU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JAX 78 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | JAX 59 – 55 EKU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | JAX 82 – 75 EKU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | JAX 67 – 65 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#234) | -1.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#214) | 0.36 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#198) | 0.12 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#204) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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