Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +130 MRSH -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -4.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -2.5 (+6.5) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -1.5 (+5.5) | 150.0 (-12.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.4 (+6.4) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.1 (+7.1) | 148.4 (-10.4) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 24-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#153) | 8.7 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#131) | 1.29 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#137) | 1.71 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#97) | 0.579 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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