Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -450 RICH +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -10.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -10.2 (+4.8) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -9.8 (+5.2) | 133.9 (-2.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -10.7 (+4.3) | 134.9 (-3.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -11.1 (+3.9) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#78) | 0.6 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#63) | 0.03 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#73) | 0.23 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#38) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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