Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MSM +400 IONA -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -11.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.8 (-1.2) | 138.2 (+9.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -10.6 (-1.4) | 137.1 (+10.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.5 (-0.5) | 138.1 (+9.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -10.0 (-2.0) | 140.2 (+7.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MSM 83 – 76 IONA |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MSM 66 – 59 IONA |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MSM 63 – 49 IONA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | IONA 70 – 67 MSM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MSM 72 – 65 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#286) | 8.2 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#308) | 0.97 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#310) | 1.18 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#298) | 0.580 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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