Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RID -163 SIE +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | RID -2.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -2.1 (+0.9) | 136.2 (-1.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -2.0 (+1.0) | 133.2 (+1.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.5 (+0.5) | 138.0 (-3.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.2 (+0.8) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#191) | -0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#206) | -0.11 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#201) | -0.01 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#176) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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