Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +100 XAV -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +22 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | XAV -0.2 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -0.3 (-21.7) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.7 (-22.7) | 141.5 (+0.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -0.7 (-21.3) | 142.1 (-0.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.1 (-22.1) | 142.9 (-0.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#59) | 12.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#70) | 2.16 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#74) | 3.11 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#83) | 0.595 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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