Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SF -300 PORT +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +3 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | SF -8.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -6.3 (-3.3) | 156.5 (+24.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -8.4 (-5.4) | 156.5 (+24.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -6.6 (-3.6) | 155.9 (+25.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -6.7 (-3.7) | 156.9 (+24.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SF 82 – 65 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SF 73 – 68 PORT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | SF 81 – 72 PORT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SF 72 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SF 76 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#100) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#113) | -0.09 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#111) | 0.15 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#172) | 0.478 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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