Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -800 UCSD +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +8 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -15.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+49.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -12.2 (-20.2) | 142.5 (+47.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -12.2 (-20.2) | 140.2 (+49.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -12.8 (-20.8) | 140.6 (+49.4) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -12.3 (-20.3) | 139.6 (+50.4) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#89) | -6.0 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#98) | -1.40 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#94) | -1.69 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#96) | 0.444 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.