Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -120 CSUB +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -1.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.3 (+7.3) | 129.2 (+13.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.2 (+7.2) | 126.1 (+16.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.5 (+7.5) | 130.3 (+12.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -0.4 (+7.4) | 131.4 (+11.6) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 0-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#315) | -6.6 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#354) | -1.12 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#350) | -1.26 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#359) | 0.434 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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