Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -200 LBSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -5.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -5.4 (-0.4) | 149.3 (+1.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -3.3 (+1.7) | 146.8 (+4.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -5.0 (-0.0) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -5.4 (-0.4) | 149.7 (+1.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#124) | 1.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#107) | 0.10 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#113) | 0.38 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#132) | 0.524 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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