Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -125 EWU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -1.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.4 (-5.6) | 136.3 (+34.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -1.6 (-5.4) | 136.0 (+35.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -1.7 (-5.3) | 138.6 (+32.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -1.9 (-5.1) | 141.7 (+29.3) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | EWU 84 – 79 WEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 WEB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | WEB 91 – 80 EWU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 8-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#209) | 3.0 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#189) | 1.00 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#206) | 1.03 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#201) | 0.547 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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