Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -138 PFW +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +2 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -3.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+42.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -2.8 (-0.8) | 150.3 (+39.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.2 (-0.2) | 150.4 (+39.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -2.9 (-0.9) | 147.4 (+42.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -2.7 (-0.7) | 148.2 (+41.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PFW 100 – 82 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MILW 77 – 55 PFW |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PFW 81 – 79 MILW |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PFW 78 – 73 MILW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MILW 96 – 88 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#232) | -3.5 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#179) | -0.46 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#189) | -0.64 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#136) | 0.488 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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