Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +200 SUU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -4.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -4.1 (-5.9) | 144.7 (+17.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -4.0 (-6.0) | 143.2 (+18.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -3.5 (-6.5) | 144.5 (+17.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -3.4 (-6.6) | 145.0 (+17.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UTA 69 – 63 SUU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SUU 78 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTA 80 – 61 SUU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UTA 86 – 77 SUU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UTA 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#237) | 4.3 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#233) | 0.84 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#236) | 0.93 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#244) | 0.549 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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