Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -250 MICH +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +13 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -8.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -5.3 (-18.3) | 135.6 (-32.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -5.8 (-18.8) | 133.0 (-30.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -5.6 (-18.6) | 132.6 (-29.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.9 (-18.9) | 134.5 (-31.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#17) | 9.0 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#52) | 1.38 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#58) | 2.17 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#76) | 0.545 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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